{"id":10348,"date":"2026-11-05T10:38:57","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T01:38:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/?p=10348"},"modified":"2026-11-05T10:38:57","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T01:38:57","slug":"prediction-powered-inference%ef%bc%88ppi%ef%bc%89%ef%bc%9aai%e3%81%ae%e4%ba%88%e6%b8%ac%e3%82%92%e3%80%81%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%e7%9a%84%e3%81%ab%e6%ad%a3%e3%81%97%e3%81%8f%e4%bd%bf%e3%81%86%e6%96%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/prediction-powered-inference%ef%bc%88ppi%ef%bc%89%ef%bc%9aai%e3%81%ae%e4%ba%88%e6%b8%ac%e3%82%92%e3%80%81%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%e7%9a%84%e3%81%ab%e6%ad%a3%e3%81%97%e3%81%8f%e4%bd%bf%e3%81%86%e6%96%b9\/","title":{"rendered":"Prediction-Powered Inference\uff08PPI\uff09\uff1aAI\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u3001\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u306b\u6b63\u3057\u304f\u4f7f\u3046\u65b9\u6cd5"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. \u6982\u8981<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Prediction-Powered Inference\uff08PPI\uff09<\/strong>&nbsp;\u306f\u3001\u6a5f\u68b0\u5b66\u7fd2\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3084LLM\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u5927\u91cf\u306b\u4f7f\u3044\u3064\u3064\u3001<strong>\u5c11\u91cf\u306e\u6b63\u89e3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u305d\u306e\u8aa4\u5dee\u3092\u88dc\u6b63<\/strong>&nbsp;\u3059\u308b\u7d71\u8a08\u624b\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3053\u3046\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001<strong>\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u306b\u6b63\u3057\u3044\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u3084p\u5024<\/strong>&nbsp;\u3092\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2023\u5e74\u306b\u3001\u30ab\u30ea\u30d5\u30a9\u30eb\u30cb\u30a2\u5927\u5b66\u30d0\u30fc\u30af\u30ec\u30fc\u6821\u306eAnastasios Angelopoulos\u3001Michael I. Jordan\u3089\u304c&nbsp;<em>Science<\/em>&nbsp;\u8a8c\u306b\u767a\u8868\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u8a00\u3067\u3044\u3048\u3070\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><strong>\u300cAI\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u63a8\u5b9a\u3057\u3001\u5c11\u6570\u306e\u6b63\u89e3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067AI\u306e\u30af\u30bb\uff08\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\uff09\u3092\u6e2c\u308a\u3001\u5dee\u3057\u5f15\u304f\u300d<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>PPI\u306b\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u6027\u8cea\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>AI\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u304c&nbsp;<strong>\u3069\u308c\u3060\u3051\u4e0d\u6b63\u78ba\u3067\u3082<\/strong>\u3001\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u308b\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u306f\u6b63\u3057\u3044\uff08\u8a2d\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u771f\u306e\u5024\u3092\u542b\u3080\uff09<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>AI\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u304c&nbsp;<strong>\u6b63\u78ba\u306a\u307b\u3069<\/strong>\u3001\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u304c\u72ed\u304f\u306a\u308b\uff08\uff1d\u5c11\u306a\u3044\u6b63\u89e3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u7cbe\u5ea6\u306e\u9ad8\u3044\u7d50\u8ad6\u304c\u51fa\u305b\u308b\uff09<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. \u80cc\u666f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AI\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u300c\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u4f7f\u3046\u6642\u4ee3<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd1\u5e74\u306f\u3001\u6b63\u89e3\u30e9\u30d9\u30eb\u3092\u4eba\u624b\u3067\u4ed8\u3051\u308b\u4ee3\u308f\u308a\u306b\u3001AI\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u4f7f\u3046\u5834\u9762\u304c\u6025\u5897\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u30bf\u30f3\u30d1\u30af\u8cea\u306e\u7acb\u4f53\u69cb\u9020\u3092\u3001\u5b9f\u9a13\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304fAlphaFold\u3067\u4e88\u6e2c\u3059\u308b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u885b\u661f\u753b\u50cf\u304b\u3089\u68ee\u6797\u7834\u58ca\u306e\u6709\u7121\u3092\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3067\u5224\u5b9a\u3059\u308b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u30a2\u30f3\u30b1\u30fc\u30c8\u306e\u81ea\u7531\u8a18\u8ff0\u3092LLM\u3067\u5206\u985e\u3059\u308b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>LLM\u306e\u51fa\u529b\u306e\u826f\u3057\u60aa\u3057\u3092\u3001LLM\u306b\u8a55\u4fa1\u3055\u305b\u308b\uff08LLM-as-a-Judge\uff09<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u554f\u984c\uff1a\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u300c\u6b63\u89e3\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6271\u3046\u3068\u7d50\u8ad6\u304c\u6b6a\u3080<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>AI\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u305d\u306e\u307e\u307e\u672c\u7269\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3068\u3057\u3066\u96c6\u8a08\u3059\u308b\u3068\uff08<strong>\u7d20\u6734\u306a\u4ee3\u5165\u6cd5<\/strong>\uff09\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u554f\u984c\u304c\u8d77\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\u304c\u3042\u308c\u3070\u3001\u63a8\u5b9a\u5024\u3082\u305d\u306e\u5206\u305a\u308c\u308b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u6570\u304c\u591a\u3044\u305f\u3081\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u306f\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u72ed\u304f\u306a\u308a\u3001<strong>\u300c\u305a\u308c\u305f\u5024\u306b\u81ea\u4fe1\u6e80\u3005\u300d<\/strong>&nbsp;\u3068\u3044\u3046\u6700\u60aa\u306e\u72b6\u614b\u306b\u306a\u308b<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u3001\u5c11\u91cf\u306e\u6b63\u89e3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3060\u3051\u3092\u4f7f\u3046&nbsp;<strong>\u53e4\u5178\u7684\u306a\u65b9\u6cd5<\/strong>&nbsp;\u306f\u6b63\u3057\u3044\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u51fa\u3057\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u5c11\u306a\u3044\u305f\u3081\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u304c\u5e83\u304f\u3001\u306f\u3063\u304d\u308a\u3057\u305f\u7d50\u8ad6\u304c\u51fa\u305b\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">PPI\u306e\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3065\u3051<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>PPI\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u4e21\u8005\u306e\u3044\u3044\u3068\u3053\u53d6\u308a\u3092\u72d9\u3063\u305f\u624b\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u3002\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u81ea\u4f53\u306b\u306f\u5148\u884c\u7814\u7a76\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u4e3b\u306b\u6b21\u306e\u6d41\u308c\u306b\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3065\u3051\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u8abf\u67fb\u7d71\u8a08\u306e&nbsp;<strong>\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u88dc\u52a9\u63a8\u5b9a<\/strong>\u3001\u5dee\u5206\u63a8\u5b9a\u91cf<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u534a\u6559\u5e2b\u3042\u308a\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u63a8\u8ad6\uff08Zhang, Brown &amp; Cai 2019\u306a\u3069\uff09<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u6b20\u6e2c\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u7406\u8ad6\u306e&nbsp;<strong>\u62e1\u5f35\u9006\u78ba\u7387\u91cd\u307f\u4ed8\u3051\uff08AIPW\uff09<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5236\u5fa1\u5909\u91cf\u6cd5\uff08control variates\uff09<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024\u3092\u4f7f\u3063\u305f\u63a8\u8ad6\u306e\u88dc\u6b63\uff08Wang, McCormick &amp; Leek 2020\uff09<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>PPI\u306f\u3001\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u3092&nbsp;<strong>\u73fe\u4ee3\u306e\u6a5f\u68b0\u5b66\u7fd2\u30fbAI\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u4f7f\u3046\u6587\u8108<\/strong>&nbsp;\u3067\u3001\u6c4e\u7528\u7684\u304b\u3064\u4f7f\u3044\u3084\u3059\u3044\u67a0\u7d44\u307f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6574\u7406\u3057\u305f\u70b9\u304c\u753b\u671f\u7684\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. \u624b\u6cd5\u306e\u5185\u5bb9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u8a2d\u5b9a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u30e9\u30d9\u30eb\u4ed8\u304d\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf<\/strong>\uff1an\u4ef6\uff08\u5c11\u306a\u3044\uff09\u3002\u6b63\u89e3 Y \u3068 AI\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c f(X) \u306e\u4e21\u65b9\u304c\u3042\u308b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u30e9\u30d9\u30eb\u306a\u3057\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf<\/strong>\uff1aN\u4ef6\uff08\u591a\u3044\uff09\u3002AI\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c f(X\u0303) \u3060\u3051\u304c\u3042\u308b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u524d\u63d0\uff1a\u30e9\u30d9\u30eb\u4ed8\u304d\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f\u3001\u5168\u4f53\u304b\u3089&nbsp;<strong>\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u9078\u3070\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b<\/strong>&nbsp;\u3053\u3068<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5e73\u5747\u3092\u63a8\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u5834\u5408<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6700\u3082\u30b7\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u306a\u300c\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u306e\u63a8\u5b9a\u300d\u3067\u306f\u3001PPI\u63a8\u5b9a\u91cf\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u5f0f\u3067\u8868\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"233\" src=\"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image-1024x233.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-10349\" srcset=\"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image-1024x233.png 1024w, https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image-300x68.png 300w, https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image-768x175.png 768w, https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image.png 1240w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"ppi-eq1.png\" alt=\"PPI\u63a8\u5b9a\u91cf\uff1aAI\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u5e73\u5747\uff08\u5927\u91cf\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\uff09\u304b\u3089\u3001\u88dc\u6b63\u9805\uff08AI\u306e\u30ba\u30ec\uff09\u3092\u5f15\u3044\u305f\u5024\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u7b2c1\u9805\uff1a\u5927\u91cf\u306eAI\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u3088\u308b\u63a8\u5b9a\u3002\u5206\u6563\u306f\u5c0f\u3055\u3044\u304c\u3001\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\u3092\u542b\u3080<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u7b2c2\u9805\uff1a\u6b63\u89e3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u6e2c\u3063\u305f\u300cAI\u304c\u5e73\u5747\u7684\u306b\u3069\u308c\u3060\u3051\u305a\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u300d\u3002\u3053\u308c\u3092\u5f15\u304f\u3053\u3068\u3067\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\u3092\u6253\u3061\u6d88\u3059<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"610\" height=\"212\" src=\"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-10350\" srcset=\"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image-1.png 610w, https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image-1-300x104.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 610px) 100vw, 610px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u3053\u3067 \u03c3<sub>f<\/sub><sup>2<\/sup> \u306fAI\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u5206\u6563\u3001\u03c3<sub>\u0394<\/sub><sup>2<\/sup> \u306f <strong>\u4e88\u6e2c\u8aa4\u5dee\uff08<\/strong><em>f<\/em>(<em>X<\/em>) \u2212 <em>Y<\/em><strong>\uff09\u306e\u5206\u6563<\/strong> \u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\uff1a<\/strong> \u53e4\u5178\u7684\u306a\u65b9\u6cd5\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6b63\u89e3 <em>Y<\/em> \u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u306e\u5206\u6563 \u03c3<sub>Y<\/sub><sup>2<\/sup> \u304c\u52b9\u3044\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002PPI\u3067\u306f\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304c <strong>\u4e88\u6e2c\u8aa4\u5dee\u306e\u5206\u6563 <\/strong>\u03c3<sub>\u0394<\/sub><sup>2<\/sup> \u306b\u7f6e\u304d\u63db\u308f\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002AI\u304c\u512a\u79c0\u306a\u3089 \u03c3<sub>\u0394<\/sub><sup>2<\/sup> \u226a \u03c3<sub>Y<\/sub><sup>2<\/sup> \u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u304c\u72ed\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5e73\u5747\u4ee5\u5916\u3078\u306e\u4e00\u822c\u5316<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8ad6\u6587\u3067\u306f\u3001<strong>\u51f8\u306aM\u63a8\u5b9a<\/strong>&nbsp;\u5168\u822c\u306b\u62e1\u5f35\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5e73\u5747\u3001\u5206\u4f4d\u70b9\uff08\u4e2d\u592e\u5024\u306a\u3069\uff09<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u7dda\u5f62\u56de\u5e30\u30fb\u30ed\u30b8\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u56de\u5e30\u306e\u4fc2\u6570<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u3001\u51f8\u306a\u640d\u5931\u95a2\u6570\u3067\u5b9a\u7fa9\u3067\u304d\u308b\u63a8\u5b9a\u91cf<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5b9f\u9a13\u5185\u5bb9\uff08\u8ad6\u6587\u306e\u4e3b\u306a\u5fdc\u7528\u4f8b\uff09<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8ad6\u6587\u3067\u306f\u3001\u8907\u6570\u306e\u79d1\u5b66\u5206\u91ce\u306e\u5b9f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u6709\u52b9\u6027\u304c\u691c\u8a3c\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4ee3\u8868\u4f8b\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3068\u304a\u308a\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th><strong>\u5206\u91ce<\/strong><\/th><th><strong>\u5185\u5bb9<\/strong><\/th><th><strong>\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u305f\u4e88\u6e2c<\/strong><\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>\u30bf\u30f3\u30d1\u30af\u8cea\u79d1\u5b66<\/td><td>\u5929\u7136\u5909\u6027\u9818\u57df\u3068\u30ea\u30f3\u9178\u5316\u306e\u95a2\u9023\uff08\u30aa\u30c3\u30ba\u6bd4\uff09<\/td><td>AlphaFold\u306e\u69cb\u9020\u4e88\u6e2c<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u5929\u6587\u5b66<\/td><td>\u6e26\u5dfb\u9280\u6cb3\u306e\u5272\u5408<\/td><td>\u9280\u6cb3\u753b\u50cf\u306e\u5206\u985e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u907a\u4f1d\u5b50\u767a\u73fe<\/td><td>\u767a\u73fe\u91cf\u306e\u5206\u4f4d\u70b9<\/td><td>Transformer\u306b\u3088\u308b\u767a\u73fe\u4e88\u6e2c<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\uff08\u56fd\u52e2\u8abf\u67fb\uff09<\/td><td>\u5e74\u9f62\u30fb\u6027\u5225\u306a\u3069\u3068\u6240\u5f97\u306e\u56de\u5e30\u4fc2\u6570<\/td><td>\u52fe\u914d\u30d6\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\uff08XGBoost\uff09<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u74b0\u5883<\/td><td>\u30a2\u30de\u30be\u30f3\u306e\u68ee\u6797\u7834\u58ca\u306e\u5272\u5408<\/td><td>\u885b\u661f\u753b\u50cf\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u751f\u614b\u5b66<\/td><td>\u30d7\u30e9\u30f3\u30af\u30c8\u30f3\u306e\u500b\u4f53\u6570<\/td><td>\u753b\u50cf\u5206\u985e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u3089\u30673\u3064\u306e\u65b9\u6cd5\u304c\u6bd4\u8f03\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u53e4\u5178\u7684\u63a8\u8ad6<\/strong>\uff08\u6b63\u89e3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3060\u3051\u3092\u4f7f\u3046\uff09<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7d20\u6734\u306a\u4ee3\u5165\u6cd5<\/strong>\uff08AI\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u6b63\u89e3\u3068\u307f\u306a\u3059\uff09<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>PPI<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. \u7d50\u679c<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e3b\u306a\u7d50\u679c\u306f\u6b21\u306e3\u70b9\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>PPI\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u306f\u3001\u8a2d\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u771f\u306e\u5024\u3092\u542b\u3093\u3060<\/strong>\uff08\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u59a5\u5f53\u6027\u304c\u4fdd\u305f\u308c\u305f\uff09<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u53e4\u5178\u7684\u63a8\u8ad6\u3088\u308a\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u304c\u72ed\u304f\u306a\u3063\u305f<\/strong>\u3002\u540c\u3058\u5e45\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u3092\u5f97\u308b\u306e\u306b\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u6b63\u89e3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u6570\u304c\u3001\u5927\u304d\u304f\u6e1b\u3063\u305f<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7d20\u6734\u306a\u4ee3\u5165\u6cd5\u306f\u3001\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u3053\u305d\u72ed\u3044\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001\u771f\u306e\u5024\u3092\u5916\u3059\u3053\u3068\u304c\u591a\u304b\u3063\u305f<\/strong>\uff08\u81ea\u4fe1\u6e80\u3005\u3067\u9593\u9055\u3048\u308b\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\uff09<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\ud83d\udca1 \u5404\u5b9f\u9a13\u3067\u306e\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u306a\u524a\u6e1b\u7387\u3084\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u306e\u5e45\u306f\u3001\u8ad6\u6587\u306e\u56f3\uff08\u7279\u306b Fig. 2 \u524d\u5f8c\uff09\u3092\u76f4\u63a5\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u3001\u5f15\u7528\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u304a\u3059\u3059\u3081\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u306e\u6539\u826f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th><strong>\u624b\u6cd5<\/strong><\/th><th><strong>\u6539\u826f\u70b9<\/strong><\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><strong>PPI++<\/strong>\uff08Angelopoulos, Duchi &amp; Zrnic 2023\uff09<\/td><td>AI\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u3069\u306e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4fe1\u983c\u3059\u308b\u304b\u306e\u91cd\u307f \u03bb \u3092\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304b\u3089\u81ea\u52d5\u3067\u8abf\u6574\u3059\u308b\u3002\u53e4\u5178\u7684\u63a8\u8ad6\u3088\u308a\u60aa\u304f\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u4fdd\u8a3c\u3057\u3001\u8a08\u7b97\u3082\u52b9\u7387\u5316<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Cross-PPI<\/strong>\uff08Zrnic &amp; Cand\u00e8s 2024\uff09<\/td><td>\u5b66\u7fd2\u6e08\u307f\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u304c\u306a\u304f\u3066\u3082\u3001\u30e9\u30d9\u30eb\u4ed8\u304d\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u4ea4\u5dee\u691c\u8a3c\u7684\u306b\u4f7f\u3063\u3066\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u5b66\u7fd2\u3068\u63a8\u8ad6\u3092\u4e21\u7acb\u3059\u308b<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Active Statistical Inference<\/strong>\uff08Zrnic &amp; Cand\u00e8s 2024\uff09<\/td><td>AI\u304c\u81ea\u4fe1\u306e\u306a\u3044\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u512a\u5148\u3057\u3066\u4eba\u9593\u304c\u30e9\u30d9\u30eb\u4ed8\u3051\u3057\u3001\u3055\u3089\u306b\u52b9\u7387\u3092\u4e0a\u3052\u308b<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Stratified PPI<\/strong>\uff08Fisch et al. 2024\uff09<\/td><td>\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u5c64\u5225\u5316\u3057\u3066\u88dc\u6b63\u3057\u3001LLM\u8a55\u4fa1\u306a\u3069\u3067\u7cbe\u5ea6\u3092\u5411\u4e0a\u3055\u305b\u308b<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">5. \u5c06\u6765\u6027<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u671f\u5f85\u3055\u308c\u308b\u5fdc\u7528<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>LLM\u306b\u3088\u308b\u30a2\u30ce\u30c6\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u306a\u6d3b\u7528<\/strong>\uff1a\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u3084\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u8abf\u67fb\u3067\u3001LLM\u306b\u5927\u91cf\u306e\u30c6\u30ad\u30b9\u30c8\u3092\u5206\u985e\u3055\u305b\u3001\u4eba\u624b\u78ba\u8a8d\u306f\u6570\u767e\u4ef6\u306b\u6291\u3048\u308b\u3002\u305d\u306e\u3046\u3048\u3067\u3001\u8ad6\u6587\u3084\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306b\u4f7f\u3048\u308b\u6c34\u6e96\u306e\u63a8\u5b9a\u3092\u884c\u3046\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>LLM\u30fbAI\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u8a55\u4fa1<\/strong>\uff1aLLM-as-a-Judge\u306e\u8a55\u4fa1\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u3001\u5c11\u91cf\u306e\u4eba\u9593\u8a55\u4fa1\u3067\u88dc\u6b63\u3059\u308b\u3002\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u9593\u306e\u9806\u4f4d\u4ed8\u3051\u306b\u3082\u5fdc\u7528\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u533b\u7642\u30fb\u30d8\u30eb\u30b9\u30b1\u30a2<\/strong>\uff1a\u96fb\u5b50\u30ab\u30eb\u30c6\u304b\u3089\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3068\u3001\u5c11\u6570\u306e\u78ba\u5b9a\u8a3a\u65ad\u3092\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u3066\u3001\u6709\u75c5\u7387\u306a\u3069\u3092\u63a8\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>A\/B\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u30fb\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u6307\u6a19<\/strong>\uff1a\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u4ee3\u7406\u6307\u6a19\u3084\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u6d3b\u7528\u3057\u3001\u5b9f\u9a13\u671f\u9593\u306e\u77ed\u7e2e\u3084\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u6570\u306e\u524a\u6e1b\u3092\u56f3\u308b\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u30ea\u30e2\u30fc\u30c8\u30bb\u30f3\u30b7\u30f3\u30b0\u3001\u79d1\u5b66\u5168\u822c<\/strong>\uff1a\u885b\u661f\u753b\u50cf\u3001\u9855\u5fae\u93e1\u753b\u50cf\u3001\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306a\u3069\u3001\u300c\u4e88\u6e2c\u306f\u5b89\u3044\u304c\u6b63\u89e3\u306f\u9ad8\u3044\u300d\u3042\u3089\u3086\u308b\u5206\u91ce\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u8ab2\u984c\u3068\u6ce8\u610f\u70b9<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u6027\u306e\u524d\u63d0<\/strong>\uff1a\u30e9\u30d9\u30eb\u4ed8\u304d\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f\u3001\u5168\u4f53\u304b\u3089\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u9078\u3076\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u90fd\u5408\u306e\u3088\u3044\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3060\u3051\u306b\u30e9\u30d9\u30eb\u3092\u4ed8\u3051\u308b\u3068\u4fdd\u8a3c\u304c\u5d29\u308c\u307e\u3059\uff08\u5206\u5e03\u304c\u305a\u308c\u308b\u5834\u5408\u306e\u62e1\u5f35\u3082\u7814\u7a76\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\uff09\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3068\u306e\u72ec\u7acb\u6027<\/strong>\uff1aAI\u306e\u5b66\u7fd2\u306b\u4f7f\u3063\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u3001\u88dc\u6b63\u7528\u306e\u6b63\u89e3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3068\u3057\u3066\u4f7f\u3044\u56de\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3044\u3051\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5287\u7684\u306a\u6539\u5584\u306f\u3001AI\u304c\u512a\u79c0\u306a\u3068\u304d\u3060\u3051<\/strong>\uff1a\u4e88\u6e2c\u7cbe\u5ea6\u304c\u4f4e\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3001\u53e4\u5178\u7684\u63a8\u8ad6\u3068\u307b\u307c\u540c\u3058\u7d50\u679c\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\uff08\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u9593\u9055\u3063\u305f\u7d50\u8ad6\u306b\u306f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\uff09\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u8ad6\u3078\u306e\u62e1\u5f35<\/strong>\uff1a\u89b3\u5bdf\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u306e\u56e0\u679c\u52b9\u679c\u63a8\u5b9a\u3068\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u304c\u9032\u3093\u3067\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u307e\u3068\u3081\uff1a\u306a\u305c\u91cd\u8981\u304b<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u300cAI\u306e\u51fa\u529b\u3092\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u30fb\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u306a\u7d50\u8ad6\u306b\u4f7f\u3063\u3066\u3088\u3044\u306e\u304b\uff1f\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u554f\u3044\u306f\u3001\u751f\u6210AI\u306e\u666e\u53ca\u3067\u307e\u3059\u307e\u3059\u91cd\u8981\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002PPI\u306f\u3053\u306e\u554f\u3044\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3001<strong>\u300c\u5c11\u91cf\u306e\u6b63\u89e3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u3042\u308c\u3070\u3001\u6570\u5b66\u7684\u306a\u4fdd\u8a3c\u4ed8\u304d\u3067\u4f7f\u3048\u308b\u300d<\/strong>&nbsp;\u3068\u3044\u3046\u660e\u5feb\u306a\u7b54\u3048\u3092\u51fa\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002AI\u3068\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u3092\u3064\u306a\u3050\u57fa\u76e4\u6280\u8853\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u3055\u3089\u306b\u666e\u53ca\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304f\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u8a66\u3059\u306b\u306f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u516c\u5f0f\u306ePython\u30e9\u30a4\u30d6\u30e9\u30ea&nbsp;<strong>ppi_py<\/strong>&nbsp;\u304c\u516c\u958b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-code\"><code>pip install ppi-python<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-code\"><code>import numpy as np\nfrom ppi_py import ppi_mean_ci, classical_mean_ci\n\n# Y: \u6b63\u89e3\u30e9\u30d9\u30eb\uff08\u5c11\u91cf\uff09\n# Yhat: \u6b63\u89e3\u304c\u3042\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308bAI\u4e88\u6e2c\n# Yhat_unlabeled: \u6b63\u89e3\u304c\u306a\u3044\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308bAI\u4e88\u6e2c\uff08\u5927\u91cf\uff09\nlower, upper = ppi_mean_ci(Y, Yhat, Yhat_unlabeled, alpha=0.05)\nc_lower, c_upper = classical_mean_ci(Y, alpha=0.05)\n\nprint(f\"PPI      : &#91;{lower:.3f}, {upper:.3f}]\")\nprint(f\"Classical: &#91;{c_lower:.3f}, {c_upper:.3f}]\")<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<p>ppi_logistic_ci\uff08\u30ed\u30b8\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u56de\u5e30\uff09\u3084 ppi_quantile_ci\uff08\u5206\u4f4d\u70b9\uff09\u306a\u3069\u3082\u7528\u610f\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">6. \u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">PPI\u306e\u539f\u8ad6\u6587\u30fb\u767a\u5c55<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Angelopoulos, A. N., Bates, S., Fannjiang, C., Jordan, M. I., &amp; Zrnic, T. (2023). Prediction-powered inference.&nbsp;<em>Science<\/em>, 382(6671), 669\u2013674. arXiv:2301.09633<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Angelopoulos, A. N., Duchi, J. C., &amp; Zrnic, T. (2023). PPI++: Efficient prediction-powered inference. arXiv:2311.01453<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Zrnic, T., &amp; Cand\u00e8s, E. J. (2024). Cross-prediction-powered inference.&nbsp;<em>PNAS<\/em>. arXiv:2309.16598<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Zrnic, T., &amp; Cand\u00e8s, E. J. (2024). Active statistical inference.&nbsp;<em>ICML 2024<\/em>. arXiv:2403.03208<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fisch, A., et al. (2024). Stratified prediction-powered inference for hybrid language model evaluation.&nbsp;<em>NeurIPS 2024<\/em>.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">LLM\u30a2\u30ce\u30c6\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3078\u306e\u5fdc\u7528\u30fb\u95a2\u9023<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Egami, N., Hinck, M., Stewart, B. M., &amp; Wei, H. (2023). Using imperfect surrogates for downstream inference: Design-based supervised learning for social science applications of large language models.&nbsp;<em>NeurIPS 2023<\/em>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Gligori\u0107, K., Zrnic, T., Lee, C., Cand\u00e8s, E. J., &amp; Jurafsky, D. (2024). Can unconfident LLM annotations be used for confident conclusions? arXiv:2408.15204<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5148\u884c\u7814\u7a76\u30fb\u7406\u8ad6\u7684\u80cc\u666f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Wang, S., McCormick, T. H., &amp; Leek, J. T. (2020). Methods for correcting inference based on outcomes predicted by machine learning.&nbsp;<em>PNAS<\/em>, 117(48).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Zhang, A., Brown, L. D., &amp; Cai, T. T. (2019). Semi-supervised inference: General theory and estimation of means.&nbsp;<em>Annals of Statistics<\/em>, 47(5).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Robins, J. M., Rotnitzky, A., &amp; Zhao, L. P. (1994). Estimation of regression coefficients when some regressors are not always observed.&nbsp;<em>JASA<\/em>, 89(427).<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5b9f\u88c5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>ppi_py\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/aangelopoulos\/ppi_py\">https:\/\/github.com\/aangelopoulos\/ppi_py<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>1. \u6982\u8981 Prediction-Powered Inference\uff08PPI\uff09&nbsp;\u306f\u3001\u6a5f\u68b0\u5b66\u7fd2\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3084LLM\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u5927\u91cf\u306b\u4f7f\u3044\u3064\u3064\u3001\u5c11\u91cf\u306e\u6b63\u89e3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u305d\u306e\u8aa4\u5dee\u3092\u88dc\u6b63&nbsp;\u3059\u308b\u7d71\u8a08\u624b\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3053\u3046\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u7d71 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":109,"featured_media":10139,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","swell_btn_cv_data":"","footnotes":"","_wp_rev_ctl_limit":""},"categories":[1249],"tags":[331,39,419,35],"class_list":["post-10348","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-knowledge","tag-python","tag-39","tag-419","tag-35"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10348","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/109"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10348"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10348\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10351,"href":"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10348\/revisions\/10351"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10139"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10348"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10348"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/since2020.jp\/media\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10348"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}